- Tillis is 20 points behind Trump with base voters. Senator Tillis is running worse with base Republican voters than any other vulnerable Republican senator. Tillis has been unable to win back base voters all cycle, who have booed him at multiple Trump rallies and blasted him as “wishy-washy” and a “snake.”
- Tillis is 20 points behind Cunningham with Independents. As one veteran reporter said, Tillis has not “made any inroads with the independent base in North Carolina.”
- Tillis is sitting at just 37 – down 9 in a head-to-head matchup.
Earlier polls show Tillis is a precarious position 100 days out. Yesterday, NBC News/Marist found Cunningham with a 9 point lead over Tillis, with the backing of 50 percent of voters, compared to Tillis’ 41 percent.
As one Republican strategist recently said, “If you’re an incumbent in a bad environment sitting at 44 percent, you should be pretty damn scared.”
How should an incumbent at 37 percent feel?