July 19, 2018/Press

ICYMI: Democratic Challengers Outraising Republican Incumbents Across the State

Raleigh – North Carolina Democrats have a $4.5 million cash-on-hand advantage over the NC GOP. But according to a new analysis from the News & Observer, Republicans’ money problems don’t stop there.

Republican incumbents – with donor bases, email lists, contacts, and campaign infrastructures – from all over the state are being outraised by Democratic challengers, some with eye-popping numbers. These fundraising totals are impressive for several reasons:

  • Wave Watch: More grassroots donations to candidates is a sign wave is building and that the momentum is with Democrats.
  • Growing Battlefield: Incumbents in the mountains, on the coast, in the suburbs, and in rural NC were outraised, meaning the number of districts Republicans must defend is getting bigger.
  • GOP Stretched Thin: Republicans like to tout how GOP leaders Berger and Moore can bridge the money gap between the parties. Besides the fact that they can’t – NCDP has $5.8 million while NC GOP, Berger, and Moore combined have $4 million – they’ll have a tough choice on their hands: stretch resources thin and risk getting overwhelmed everywhere or surrender some members and to compete elsewhere.

No matter how you slice it, Republicans are starting the toughest election they’ve ever faced – with Democratic challengers in every single district – without the resources to overcome the political headwinds.

News & Observer: Which NC districts might flip? These 10 Democrats have more cash than GOP incumbents.
By Andy Specht
July 19, 2018

If money talked, it might tell some incumbent Republican legislators to watch their backs.

Each of the 170 state House and Senate seats are up for election. If Democrats pick up either four House seats or six Senate seats in the November election, they’ll break the Republican supermajority — meaning Republicans will be less likely to override the vetoes of Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper.

Campaign finance reports show that, in several key races, incumbent Republicans have far less money than their Democratic challengers.

Individual candidate reports aren’t harbingers of victory. Candidates often receive financial support from their party and from other political groups. But individual fundraising figures can indicate who donors believe in, and who has momentum as November nears.

Robert Howard, spokesman for the N.C. Democratic Party, noted that incumbents usually have more email addresses, social media followers and donors than challengers do. That’s why it’s impressive that Democrats have out-raised Republicans in so many districts, he said.

“This fundraising disparity is happening everywhere — the coast, the suburbs, the mountains — meaning the battlefield is growing bigger not smaller,” Howard said in an email. “With more than 100 seats to hold and members not carrying their weight, Republican leaders are going to be stretched thin, and quickly.”

Read the full article online here.